Bureau expects a warmer, drier winter than usual
FOR farmers in the region, there's nothing you'd want more this season than a reasonably healthy dose of rainfall.
Unfortunately, as new weather predictions are out, experts say you might be quite disappointed, as eastern and central Australia is unlikely to receive the rainfall people are hoping for.
Dr Andrew Watkins, the Bureau of Meteorology's long-range forecasting manager said that this season will be drier than average for our region, with warmer than average days nation-wide.
"Drier than average conditions typically mean more cloud-free nights, which increases the risk of frost in susceptible areas,” he said.
Warmer than average temperatures aren't just expected for the coming weeks but is expected to spread across the rest of winter.
"Our climate outlook shows most states and territories have large areas where chances are greater than 80 per cent for warmer than average days," he said.
According to the Bureau's Outlook, likelihood of El Niño developing in 2019 double the normal risk for this time of year.
The Bureau states that El Niño events typically mean reduced rainfall for eastern Australia during winter-spring.
"This certainly doesn't mean we will have no rainfall over winter - it is the southern wet season after all - but it does support the model outlook for a drier than average winter, with the possibility of more evaporation than normal," Dr Watkins said.
The Bureau also suggested that this past autumn will go down as one of Australia's five warmest autumns on record.
For information on the past autumn season, summaries will be released by the Bureau of Meteorology on June 3.